The Mathematics of the Discount: Why a 10 Percent Concession Requires 50 Percent More Volume

The Mathematics of the Discount: Why a 10 Percent Concession Requires 50 Percent More Volume

jake
Published on: 04/10/2026

A 10 percent price cut on a 30 percent gross margin is not a 10 percent problem. It is a 33 percent cut to unit profit, and it requires 50 percent more volume to finish the period where you started.

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The Bull Case Arrives Late: What a16z State of Markets II Changes, and What It Does Not

The Bull Case Arrives Late: What a16z State of Markets II Changes, and What It Does Not

jake
Published on: 04/10/2026

a16z’s State of Markets II raises the hyperscaler capex path and delays the GPU write-down. It does not answer the twenty-dollar seat or the lab cash-burn ratio.

Capital Misallocation, Subsidized Compute, and the Anatomy of the Artificial Intelligence Bubble

Capital Misallocation, Subsidized Compute, and the Anatomy of the Artificial Intelligence Bubble

jake
Published on: 03/10/2026

Hyperscaler capex has decoupled from downstream software revenue. Subsidized $20 subscriptions, circular financing, and a 5% enterprise P&L hit rate leave mid-market operators exposed when the compute subsidy ends.

The Conversation Architecture of Revenue

The Conversation Architecture of Revenue

jake
Published on: 21/09/2026

Empirical mechanics of discovery, talk ratios, multi-threading, cold outreach, and AI utilization across three hundred million sales interactions.

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